This post comes out as a reaction
to the recent downgrading of Indian Outlook by S&P and Moody. These two are organizations that do the Risk rating operations and analysis on investments,
credits and everything they feel like. Like India for example.
To throw light on what I’m
talking about, just last week the S&P downgraded the Indian outlook to
negative from being stable. In simpler terms, it’s branding India to be a Risky
place for investments. This might not come as a surprise to some and they might
even agree to this as the Indian markets haven’t showed a lot of stiffness,
some of the big bosses have drawn graphs crossing the red line. To add, there’s
the rupee losing ground on the US dollar. From this point, it sure seems like
Indian economy is risky.
To add to this one flamboyant
“rating” the Moody has come out and done more act of downgrading India. Well,
this time they’ve taken on 3 private banks; HDFC, ICICI and Axis Bank have been
given bad ratings by moody and there is a speculation over LIC; India’s biggest
PSU insurance provider.
Why!!! Why are you throwing
stones at me??
Let’s take a deep breath and do
what a glass house dwelling stone pelter deserves.
Looking back into very recent
history, wasn’t it the S&P and Moody who gave a triple A rating for the
Housing Credit Securities? They said that the money lent on houses was insured
as they had the house in possession which could be sold to a new customer if
the loan was defaulted. Seems sensible,
and so thought the countries who bought these sensible “securities” what
happened later?? The housing prices started falling, people couldn’t sell
houses, they had to take fresh loans to pay out to their housing loans. This
debt after debt burst the housing bubble and everything was ruined. Billions of
dollars were lost, people came to the streets and no one had money. All this
was in the USA, what about the countries who bought these “insured
securities”?? The rest of the world laughed at them and they lost all their
money, and more than half the world had to apply for loans from the world bank.
That was the beginning of the recession era.
What brought all this? The AAA rating by S&P.
Economists, or in general anyone
with common sense across the globe believed that the system of rating itself
was corrupt. The US govt. must have been at bed with S&P and Moody and
forced them to give an AAA rating so as to be able to sell their rots to the
rest of the world.
Now, just about 6 months back
when the S&P gave USA a bad rating, everything went haywire, like hell had descended
over earth. At that time, the head of S&P who was an Indian was sacked and
the rating was reversed. After 6 months, we see that these very respectable organisations
are throwing stones at the Indian economy. My take is, that after the Indian
Head had been sacked from S&P and an American past VP of Citi Bank had been
made the new head, they went back to sleep with the Fed govt of USA.
It’s only fitting that the
federal govt of USA and these rating organisations are playing this game of
downgrading India together. With the presidential election looming close, and
Obama’s failing promise of providing jobs and curbing outsourcing, this might
be his last ditch effort of bringing money back to the USA. By defaming India,
they are hoping to suck money and investors off India. Will this pump money
back into USA? Only time can tell. But is this the right way to become rich?
I wasn’t sure of the answer
myself. Until I met a Hijada on the street this Wednesday.
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